Thread:Zillafire101/@comment-4960835-20160524105213/@comment-25309944-20160810150219

Right, now that you lay all the elements out that way I can get a clearer picture. Yes, it would seem like the Persan exit would be very, very conveniently timed and with an outlandish excuse. The impression the French would get is that they're jumping ship before it sinks, which is perfectly in their right. The French leadership would understand it more as a French diplomatic failure than an aggressive move, especially since (I imagine) it will be obvious that the Persan are limited in their ability to project power.

However, what all of these elements put together will mean is a shift in French strategic thinking in the region. Though France will still engage with the Covenant 100%, working with the Waptoria where possible, it won't rely on it entirely for its security. In the allocation of resources, observers will get the impression that French leaders are expecting maybe a 10% chance of being forced into a defensive war in the near future. Whereas before the French had concentrated their resources in developing the region economically, now we'll see some resources being invested in updating French Mirus' military infrastructure and bases, expanding naval yards and airfields, evaluating the strength of fortifications, passing laws in the different territories mandating the creation of National Guard units (trained reservists which can be called up in the event of a conflict), and so on. France is -not- gearing up for an offensive conflict, that would require a -lot- more investment in different places, that much will be clear to anyone with even a day's worth of military experience.

I believe we've already discussed France's support for the HoR's opposition as well.